Weekly Reads (a journal of my thinking and reading, not intended for investment advice) A pretty good round up of information from Fear & Greed – https://seekingalpha.com/article/4164539-s-and-p-500-weekly-update-one-believes-stocks-can-go-higher I am a bit more on the fear side than the author … cash continues to grow thru stop-loss capital preservation steps (see below on stop loss) Doug Short’s… Read More »
Posts and readings of note from the week Chuck Carnevale (Fast Graph Wizard) published a series of 3 posts on dividend growth stocks (posts 2 and 3 this week). Again, the methodology is more important than the specific recommendations. Here are some of the common analyses done between us and i am not a fan… Read More »
After a short vacation and a small bout with a gastro bug, i have the focus to post. Just a reminder. I write this blog to help me understand, plan and make investment decisions. This is NOT any semblance of recommendation or advice. Just my way of holding myself accountable for sound, data-based investment planning… Read More »
Random Reads The dilemna that central bankers face … while this is focused on Japan, it is not too hard to generalize to EU and US. I think the scenarios following these breakdowns are terrible in most instances. Successful outcomes 5-10 years from this points seem like threading the eye of a needle w/ a… Read More »
a good post from one of my favorite writers using tariff scenarios from Goldman https://seekingalpha.com/article/4155949-tillerson-kudlow-cpi-oh bottom line – no scenario is stock positive … oh my!
Random Weekly Reads S&P earnings forecast from Brian Gilmartin … only major weakness is real estate. the biggest surprise is that he is already looking to Q1 … went by too fast https://seekingalpha.com/article/4155309-q1-2018-earnings-start-month-estimates-changed A view of yield curve flattening – first major milestone reached. i also watch the 30-2yr spread and it is not growing https://seekingalpha.com/article/4155338-truth-behind-quantitative-tightening-qt I… Read More »
Random Weekly Reads A fairly simple technical view of stocks from Lance Roberts https://seekingalpha.com/article/4153046-bearish-action-emerges Have to agree on the selling pressure weighing on advances There’s that old ‘hate uncertainty’ and we have a huge dollop of that right now S&P earnings keep growing and estimates are not sliding post ER https://seekingalpha.com/article/4153035-big-dispersion-ytd-s-and-p-500-sector-returns-s-and-p-500-forward-estimate-continues-march (Brian Gilmartin) i think that one of… Read More »
Weekend Reads https://seekingalpha.com/article/4150439-tax-receipts-weak …. seems contrary to common sense. Read the comments underneath the article … just another data point / view on broad economic growth in US https://seekingalpha.com/article/4150414-v-v-shaped … buy the dip strategy and its potential unintended consequences – ever increasing dips Brad Thomas on LTC https://seekingalpha.com/article/4148178-monthly-dividend-payer-now-strong-buy I continue my ‘hold’ on LTC not because… Read More »
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-21/apple-is-said-to-negotiate-buying-cobalt-direct-from-miners Apple is one of the best tech companies when it comes to supply chain risk mitigation … this should be considered a very important canary starting to sing a different tune.
Random Weekly Reads – Economy Focused A new author for me posted this and it has echos of “Jubillee” as something in the future – where in the future, who knows https://seekingalpha.com/article/4147943-worst-threat-face-right-home As with all these Jubilee related posts, i am not suggesting nor planning for this event (yet), but i find these articles incredibly important… Read More »