Weekly Update, May 20, 2018

General Reads One of those ‘put fear to the heart of all’ https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2018/05/18/train-crash-preview Jobs, automation and the forthcoming structural labor repositioning is a favorite topic of mine, and here is a pretty good analysis of one possible scenario http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/the-great-jobs-collision Credit, Rates and Bonds A great data snapshot on rates from Doug Short https://seekingalpha.com/article/4175634-treasury-snapshot-10-year-yield-3_06-percent   will need to watch this… Read More »

Disagree or Agree, but Read

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4174111-technically-speaking-return-bull-bull-trap Lance has a way of articulating heavy data sets to render understandable; the counter to his perspective is that it is very close to mine

Weekly Update, May 13, 2018

Plans and Clues Blog – a personal investment journal, not advice More General / Macro Oriented Weekly Reads  General Reads Oil, currency, debt, etc … how are these all connected?  They are but definitely seems difficult to parse for small investors  https://seekingalpha.com/article/4172731-one-banks-100-oil-maybe-call-stocks-rose-thursday I am starting to pay more attention to currency, oil and money supplies (as well… Read More »

Weekly Update, May 6, 2018

Plans and Clues Blog – a personal investment journal More General / Macro Oriented Weekly Reads  Company Specific News HASI earnings release and the market’s reaction to the facts were odd imho and the second consecutive quarter where the company delivered pretty much what they said they would and there’s a sell off.  Just baffles me. … Read More »

Weekly Update, April 29, 2018

More General / Macro Oriented Weekly Reads  (a journal of my thinking and reading, not intended for investment advice) Positive post on HASI http://www.seekingalpha.com/article/4165016 A couple of interesting posts on Fed put and market technicals https://seekingalpha.com/article/4166664-myth-the-pin-pricked-bubble-the-pin https://seekingalpha.com/article/4167328-mapping-markets-next-moves My bias remains negative to the overall market and continued upside … but does not mean that I cannot… Read More »

Weekly Update, April 22, 2018

Weekly Reads  (a journal of my thinking and reading, not intended for investment advice) A pretty good round up of information from Fear & Greed – https://seekingalpha.com/article/4164539-s-and-p-500-weekly-update-one-believes-stocks-can-go-higher I am a bit more on the fear side than the author … cash continues to grow thru stop-loss capital preservation steps (see below on stop loss) Doug Short’s… Read More »

Weekly Update, April 16, 2018

Posts and readings of note from the week Chuck Carnevale (Fast Graph Wizard) published a series of 3 posts on dividend growth stocks (posts 2 and 3 this week).  Again, the methodology is more important than the specific recommendations. Here are some of the common analyses done between us and i am not a fan… Read More »

Weekly Update, April 8, 2018

After a short vacation and a small bout with a gastro bug, i have the focus to post.  Just a reminder.  I write this blog to help me understand, plan and make investment decisions.  This is NOT any semblance of recommendation or advice.  Just my way of holding myself accountable for sound, data-based investment planning… Read More »

Weekly Update, March 18, 2018

Random Reads The dilemna that central bankers face … while this is focused on Japan, it is not too hard to generalize to EU and US.  I think the scenarios following these breakdowns are terrible in most instances.  Successful outcomes 5-10 years from this points seem like threading the eye of a needle w/ a… Read More »

Tariff Scenarios

a good post from one of my favorite writers using tariff scenarios from Goldman https://seekingalpha.com/article/4155949-tillerson-kudlow-cpi-oh bottom line – no scenario is stock positive … oh my!