Weekly Update, December 17, 2017

From Jeff Miller’s WTWA The S&P one chart of 5 days Less than 1% variance Friday was all Tax reform driven … but look at the drop at end of Friday (I assume traders did not want to hold positions going into weekend and start of holiday tax selling) Small business confidence is really high;… Read More »

Weekly Update, Dec 10, 2017

Must read articles Lance Roberts – from investing.com https://www.investing.com/analysis/no-risk-of-recession–120817-200271844 the labor and consumer sentiment (wages) are important trends this graph is also important  A post this week on BIP https://seekingalpha.com/article/4130775-buy-bip-preferred-units-common-units  my research has BIP on my watch list and i agree with the author and many of the comments that the entry point now is not a… Read More »

The hardest action sometimes is …

… to do nothing and just watch the price of your at risk stock fall.  Unless something has fundamentally changed with the company or their markets, the value will get eventually measured.  But holding back from selling or even buying more is hard.

Weekly Update, Dec 3, 2017

Jeff Miller’s weekly summary Oddly, he published one of the simpliest characterisations of the recent tax law work The 10yr note rates while up 0.02% the range during the week was far greater and provided some opportunities to take small positions – e.g., VGIT He quoted another writer with the following: “The Dallas Fed reported… Read More »

EOY Portfolio Analysis #1

Over Thanksgiving holiday i start my “End of Year Portfolio Analysis” … it takes thru Christmas holiday to complete and then in January I write my annual report … that i send to my wife (my toughest customer). This year, I am executing to an idea that i had about structuring and managing my portfolio… Read More »

OHI – My Problem Child REIT

OHI is in trouble both, i believe, as a business and as a stock.  My total position is small relative to my historical holdings at <350 shares.  Two posts in the last 24-48 hours suggest that i am not the only one with this problem child. Hoya Capital – https://seekingalpha.com/article/4127081-healthcare-reits-sick Williams Equity – https://seekingalpha.com/article/4127095-battle-bleeding-titans-part-1-omega-healthcare-vs-tanger-factory-outlet-centers-inc Both of these… Read More »

Weekly Update, Nov 19, 2017

The standard updates / shares for the week The whipsaw from Wednesday to Thursday was fun to watch and then Friday just seemed to run out of gas completely What i notice, however, is that even on up or down days, the market is not uniform … rotations are happening, and an open question for… Read More »

WOW … hold on to your hats

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4125665-generational-reset-will-redistribute-wealth-bottom-60-percent-near Right / Wrong / Indicative … who cares, this should get you thinking

Doug Short & Recession Leading Indicators

this is data thick and i believe Jeff Miller will comment on this over the weekend – few comment more concisely so i am looking forward to Jeff’s update. Doug has a way of putting data together and really pushing to find the right story … my take away is that we are still muddling… Read More »

Must Read

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4124632-truth-wall-street-analysis The article speaks for itself … a well, very well done post